Cap Town Cat
07-20-2008, 11:06 AM
Hey everyone I am back from a bit of a hiatus. Law school keep getting in the way.
I wanted to give the board my outlook on the season ahead, but alo use the new EA football 09 to do some more computer generated stuff. I will start with my outlook for the season ahead and as I work through generating the games on my 360 I will add that data in.
* A note: I am assuming CP as the QB and Locke as the starting HB.
Gam #1: University of Louisville:Of course we hate this game being first. But I think in the end it will help us with Alabama by keeping everyone crisp. I think we get a big win here. This is a "new" UofL with a new OC facing an experienced D with a very strong secondary. This will also be our test to see what our breadth of offense is. I think it will show we can do nearly everything but the deep ball: UK wins 35-14
Game #2: Norfolk State: I suspect Joker will use this as a testbed. Trying to figure out what Curtis can do "in-game" under certain plays and sets. Where he might have been conservative in his calling against UofL, I suspect he will show more against Norfolk simply to get reps under CP on various routes and clm him down. I don't think Norfolk poses as much of a rushing threat as other school so this could be a huge boost to CP confidence as the new QB: UK wins: 42-21
Game #3: MT: Back to the grind. MT has a well balanced offense near as I can tell, capable of scoring off a variety of plays. The big issue for them is a generally large turnover rate. They went 5-7 last year I think most a result of an inexperienced quarterback not managing ball control. They did almost beat UofL but they were blown out Lsu by staying on the ground for fear of the LSU secondary. I expect something similar to the LSU game though with more experience they will still be effective. UK wins: 42-17
Game #4: Western Kentucky: This is the first game that concerns me. Rgardless of WKU's talent they will be hungry for a huge upset win. I keep thinking of MSU last year. Hopefully with this being in-state the crowd will be alive and give that enthusiasm edge to our team that I think they want for this game. Their starting QB had a huge problem with interceptions and getting sacked last year, could be because he was a backup and was sitting behind the backup line. Either way I suspect Joker will use this as a spring board.
Game #5: Alabama: This one could get very very ugly. We have come off three rather cushy games and a Bye week, they will be coming off Arkansas and Georgia, not to mention a harrowing loss to Clemson: Advantage us. Were playing in Tuscaloosa: Big advantage them. Their record for passing touchdowns in a season was set last year, 19. Needless to say they will likely run the ball, a lot. Also this this QB seems to have loved dancing with D Linemen last year. 25 sacks on the season. oh and 12 interceptions. Still they will obviously have talent...millions of dollars of it.UK win: 17-10 (win this one and we likely get ranked.)
Game #6: We might get taken advantage of in this game. We might be a tad tired from AL, where they will have just come from Ole Miss. They have a young, but good, QB but also younger receivers and RBs that didn't get many reps behind last year's solid performers. This one will be huge. Spurrier is going to go to the air. I am not sure how our D will handle it. Hopefully a Home field Advantage and some excited plays will get us out with a win. UK wins 21-14
Game #7:Arkansas. Oh my god in the name of all things holy we better beat the hell out of them. a friend of mine said he thinks Arkansas will have a down year because the Petrino system can't be implemented in one season. Without the amazing running game they had last year I fully expect a large air game on their part. The thing is, while they have a good completion rating under their new QB, I don't think they have the receivers to pull it off. UK win 35-14
Game #8:Florida. I think every SEC team spent 4 weeks in the office season huddled in their film rooms analyzing these guys and all reached the same conclusion. Small changes could render Tebow's running game irrelevant. Florida knows this, and I expect a more balanced single back look from them with a balanced game. Thing is, I don't think Tebow amounts to much as a mid to long passer. This game will be a defensive grind out. Look, honestly, Florida will lose a game this year: Georgia, but if they lose two It will be us. UK loss: 14-10( the inverse could happen, but playing in the swamp wont help us at all, I dont expect it to hurt much because these guys will be a top ten team)
Game #9: MSU: I dunno what to think. It being just after the FL game the effects could be an unusual. It is at MSU, though we saw what good home field did for us last year. I think we win because we lost, we rdouble and come out a play. Sorry I am not giving this game the same analysis but they are like us and nothing ever seems to make much sense. UK win 35-21
Game #10: I so don't feel like analyzing this game right now. Suffice it to say, despite being a HUGE UK fan, I think Georgia is the national team to beat and will fire on all cylinders all year. Though we will give them hell in the form of a Defensive grind out. UK loss 20-14. I like to think the home field might take Georgia out of it's element, who knows.
Game #11 Vandy: Could wind up like last years MSU game. But I think the string of exciting home games and a good record keep us interested. I think this game will be hilarious. I think we win, I think Brooks an Joker put on a clinic. AND I think the game gets locally televised in KY and TN... you know exactly what I'm thinking. UK wins 41-14
Game #12: Tennessee: All the reading I have done points to TN struggling this year. That could be a fault analysis. They lose some quality receivers and RBs, not to mention a good QB. While the new guy is good I dont think his targets are as good. I expect an unusual level of TN keeping the ball on the ground with a solid RB core. Like how last years Offense was the heart and the D was the backbone, the rolls have flipped. Our O will have been methodical in its drives, wearing Defenses out. Our D will be the heart, playing with a ridiculous enthusiasm that comes from knowing your good not because god mad you that way but because you spent four year becoming that way and are proud. I think our 11 D-men will want this game more than anyone in the south. UK wins 21-0
Game #13: THE BOWL: Two loss prediction. Beat FL and you go to the BCS no questions asked. Lose and you don't. Let's be honest, right now I think GA wins a national championship. and Florida goes to the sugar bowl or some such. I don't mind not going. We get the measly table scrAps of the Capitol One bowl(I'm being sarcastic). We would likely play Michigan because the country has this wonderful ability to always give OSU the benefit of the doubt. as for my analysis, well I'm not doing it yet.
Expect the EA part of this soon. FYI: I FOUND A FREE ROSTER FOR 2009, I HAVE IT IN MY LOCKER IF ANYONE WANTS IT LET ME KNOW.
I wanted to give the board my outlook on the season ahead, but alo use the new EA football 09 to do some more computer generated stuff. I will start with my outlook for the season ahead and as I work through generating the games on my 360 I will add that data in.
* A note: I am assuming CP as the QB and Locke as the starting HB.
Gam #1: University of Louisville:Of course we hate this game being first. But I think in the end it will help us with Alabama by keeping everyone crisp. I think we get a big win here. This is a "new" UofL with a new OC facing an experienced D with a very strong secondary. This will also be our test to see what our breadth of offense is. I think it will show we can do nearly everything but the deep ball: UK wins 35-14
Game #2: Norfolk State: I suspect Joker will use this as a testbed. Trying to figure out what Curtis can do "in-game" under certain plays and sets. Where he might have been conservative in his calling against UofL, I suspect he will show more against Norfolk simply to get reps under CP on various routes and clm him down. I don't think Norfolk poses as much of a rushing threat as other school so this could be a huge boost to CP confidence as the new QB: UK wins: 42-21
Game #3: MT: Back to the grind. MT has a well balanced offense near as I can tell, capable of scoring off a variety of plays. The big issue for them is a generally large turnover rate. They went 5-7 last year I think most a result of an inexperienced quarterback not managing ball control. They did almost beat UofL but they were blown out Lsu by staying on the ground for fear of the LSU secondary. I expect something similar to the LSU game though with more experience they will still be effective. UK wins: 42-17
Game #4: Western Kentucky: This is the first game that concerns me. Rgardless of WKU's talent they will be hungry for a huge upset win. I keep thinking of MSU last year. Hopefully with this being in-state the crowd will be alive and give that enthusiasm edge to our team that I think they want for this game. Their starting QB had a huge problem with interceptions and getting sacked last year, could be because he was a backup and was sitting behind the backup line. Either way I suspect Joker will use this as a spring board.
Game #5: Alabama: This one could get very very ugly. We have come off three rather cushy games and a Bye week, they will be coming off Arkansas and Georgia, not to mention a harrowing loss to Clemson: Advantage us. Were playing in Tuscaloosa: Big advantage them. Their record for passing touchdowns in a season was set last year, 19. Needless to say they will likely run the ball, a lot. Also this this QB seems to have loved dancing with D Linemen last year. 25 sacks on the season. oh and 12 interceptions. Still they will obviously have talent...millions of dollars of it.UK win: 17-10 (win this one and we likely get ranked.)
Game #6: We might get taken advantage of in this game. We might be a tad tired from AL, where they will have just come from Ole Miss. They have a young, but good, QB but also younger receivers and RBs that didn't get many reps behind last year's solid performers. This one will be huge. Spurrier is going to go to the air. I am not sure how our D will handle it. Hopefully a Home field Advantage and some excited plays will get us out with a win. UK wins 21-14
Game #7:Arkansas. Oh my god in the name of all things holy we better beat the hell out of them. a friend of mine said he thinks Arkansas will have a down year because the Petrino system can't be implemented in one season. Without the amazing running game they had last year I fully expect a large air game on their part. The thing is, while they have a good completion rating under their new QB, I don't think they have the receivers to pull it off. UK win 35-14
Game #8:Florida. I think every SEC team spent 4 weeks in the office season huddled in their film rooms analyzing these guys and all reached the same conclusion. Small changes could render Tebow's running game irrelevant. Florida knows this, and I expect a more balanced single back look from them with a balanced game. Thing is, I don't think Tebow amounts to much as a mid to long passer. This game will be a defensive grind out. Look, honestly, Florida will lose a game this year: Georgia, but if they lose two It will be us. UK loss: 14-10( the inverse could happen, but playing in the swamp wont help us at all, I dont expect it to hurt much because these guys will be a top ten team)
Game #9: MSU: I dunno what to think. It being just after the FL game the effects could be an unusual. It is at MSU, though we saw what good home field did for us last year. I think we win because we lost, we rdouble and come out a play. Sorry I am not giving this game the same analysis but they are like us and nothing ever seems to make much sense. UK win 35-21
Game #10: I so don't feel like analyzing this game right now. Suffice it to say, despite being a HUGE UK fan, I think Georgia is the national team to beat and will fire on all cylinders all year. Though we will give them hell in the form of a Defensive grind out. UK loss 20-14. I like to think the home field might take Georgia out of it's element, who knows.
Game #11 Vandy: Could wind up like last years MSU game. But I think the string of exciting home games and a good record keep us interested. I think this game will be hilarious. I think we win, I think Brooks an Joker put on a clinic. AND I think the game gets locally televised in KY and TN... you know exactly what I'm thinking. UK wins 41-14
Game #12: Tennessee: All the reading I have done points to TN struggling this year. That could be a fault analysis. They lose some quality receivers and RBs, not to mention a good QB. While the new guy is good I dont think his targets are as good. I expect an unusual level of TN keeping the ball on the ground with a solid RB core. Like how last years Offense was the heart and the D was the backbone, the rolls have flipped. Our O will have been methodical in its drives, wearing Defenses out. Our D will be the heart, playing with a ridiculous enthusiasm that comes from knowing your good not because god mad you that way but because you spent four year becoming that way and are proud. I think our 11 D-men will want this game more than anyone in the south. UK wins 21-0
Game #13: THE BOWL: Two loss prediction. Beat FL and you go to the BCS no questions asked. Lose and you don't. Let's be honest, right now I think GA wins a national championship. and Florida goes to the sugar bowl or some such. I don't mind not going. We get the measly table scrAps of the Capitol One bowl(I'm being sarcastic). We would likely play Michigan because the country has this wonderful ability to always give OSU the benefit of the doubt. as for my analysis, well I'm not doing it yet.
Expect the EA part of this soon. FYI: I FOUND A FREE ROSTER FOR 2009, I HAVE IT IN MY LOCKER IF ANYONE WANTS IT LET ME KNOW.
