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DCWildcat
05-28-2006, 06:19 PM
This point is probably already common knowledge for many, but if not, read on.

From Ken Pomeroy's blog after our NCAA tournament loss:

Connecticut 87, Kentucky 83 [74] - I know Kentucky fans feel kind of blah about this team. But they had no right to expect their offense would be so good this season. One of the most underappreciated stories of the season was how effective the Wildcat offense became towards the end of the season, so it was good to see them go out in such an obvious blaze of offensive glory. Who knew that Azubuike and Hayes meant so much defensively?
I've seen a lot of criticism about Tubby over the years about how he reigns offenses in too much. And I agree with most of it; it wouldn't be a tough argument to make that between 2000-2005, we've had the best overall defense in college basketball, and that more often than not, it was our defense holding us back when we lost.

Last season changed that. Pomeroy's adjusted offensive efficiency rating--points per 100 possessions, factoring in opponent's rank, home court advantage, etc., had us at 14th in the country, not bad at all and much improved from 2005's 25th and 2004's 16th rank.

What killed us last year was defense. Again using Pomeroy's ratings, we were 11 in 2004, 6th in 2005, and....53rd in 2006. Effective field goal percentage (values 3 pointers as more to compensate) had us at 35th in 2004, 47th in 2005, and 109 in 2006.


Next year?
Looking up, the possibility of a larger backcourt with Jasper/Bradley-Crawford-Perry replacing Rondo/Sparks/Crawford could very well pay large dividends. As maligned as our interior defense was, in my opinion it was our atrocious perimeter defense that lead it to happen. People must realize, Tubby's ball line defense revolves first and foremost around the defense of the perimeter. THe concept is to deny entry passes to the inside, and when those happen, a sort of "panic-lockdown" mode occurs. Due to height, insufficient athletic ability, lack of motivation, etc., there were far too many looks given on the inside this past season, putting undue pressure on Morris and whoever was playing the 4 at the time. Their sub-par defences didn't exactly help, but they shouldn't have had to.

Losing Rondo will be a big loss. However, the possibility of a taller, stronger, more athletic backcourt could pay much bigger dividends than most realize. In addition, experience--which past teams has shown to be very valuable to Tubby teams--should help a lot. Offseason workouts will likely help teach Ramel to cut down on susceptibility to ball fakes, Morris to stop fouling, Crawford to play his man stronger, and numerous other intagibles.

But there's one last factor I want to highlight (that's why I put it in red). I look for more fire from this team. No one who has ever spent significant time playing or observing basketball can deny the importance of fire to a defense, something we sorely lacked last year. I can't imagine a backcourt of colder personalities than Rondo, Sparks, and Crawford, who (combined) might have shown emotion once every 3 games. Ramel Bradley is the most enthused player on the team, Crawford will likely be more energized given an increased offensive role and the ability to guard players his size, and Perry should be able to export his workhorse attitude to the 3 where he belongs.

The additions of Stevenson, a defender by trade, and Jasper and Meeks, who proved to be two of the most athletic guards in the country during the Roundball classic, can only help. I've gotten on Tubby before for targetting very offensively oriented players in recent years; this year seems to be a good counter to that. They will prove tough.


I think we'll be a great team next year.

SamKat
05-28-2006, 07:19 PM
Thanks DC! I too believe that it is time to start looking and hoping forward to another UK basketball season. Wildcat fans always maintain hope.

Caveman Catfan
05-29-2006, 08:46 AM
Nice post.

Agree that the defense was the difference.

I will miss Rondo, but I think he was part of the problem. RR is an amazing on the ball defender and plays the passing lanes very well; however, he had a tendency to play sort of a one man zone defense at times, trying to do too much, which I believe took him outside of the team philosophy of Tubby's defense. Now, it certainly is possible that this was at Tubby's command, given that some other players on the floor were weak in the assignments. Either way, it often did not work.

For example, in the USC game (in the SEC tourney), USC was making a run in the second half and Rondo was playing his man by giving him a huge cushion. That one kid for the Gamecocks was hot from the outside. I believe Ravi was guarding him tight, when Rondo directed a switch on a pick. Rondo then played the passing lane outside the paint while the shooter was lost, drifting out toward the hash mark. By the time the pass to the shooter was realized by Rondo, it was too late, leaving him with only the opportunity to run at his man as the three was released.

When a kid is that hot, you have to play him late in the game as Ravi was playing him, in his shirt, denial basketball. Rondo's athleticism and confidence on defense, played right into the kid's hands. He just moved farther out on the perimeter, resulting in a huge three pointer (one nail in the proverbial coffin).

It may sound strange, but a player like Bradley, IF HE BUYS IN as those in the past have, without the athletic ability that Rondo has, might be better for the team help concept Tubby employs. At least that is what I am hoping.

NC Cat
05-30-2006, 11:30 AM
The defense last year seemed plagued by a lack of want-to. Defense is about effort, and this team just seemed to quit trying at times. The second half of both Florida games are perfect examples, IMO. They just quit giving the effort and got blown out. Kansas was another good example. That is mostly mental, of course, and we need to hope that next year this gets turned around. Getting a hard-arse strength coach should help.They will develop toughness from working with him, whether they want to or not...

poodoo
05-30-2006, 01:46 PM
Agree that the defense was the difference.

I will miss Rondo, but I think he was part of the problem. RR is an amazing on the ball defender and plays the passing lanes very well; however, he had a tendency to play sort of a one man zone defense at times, trying to do too much, which I believe took him outside of the team philosophy of Tubby's defense. Now, it certainly is possible that this was at Tubby's command, given that some other players on the floor were weak in the assignments. Either way, it often did not work. QUOTE by Caveman Catfan

__________

I tend to agree, Caveman. Also, I think Rondo's not playing that team defense that was so important to Tubby was a huge part of the reason he graded out poorly and did not get to start several games (along with Morris and Crawford). Again, in my opinion, Rajon Rondo so missed the defensive presence of Chuck Hayes inside and never adapted his defensive techniques to what Tubby wanted with Hayes no longer in the frontcourt.

I also agree with NC Cat that defense is a lot about effort (although Rondo's problems were not a lack of effort, in my opinion). This team did "lay down" on defense in games in which they were being badly beaten. Like NC Cat, I think that will improve with the presence of the new strength and conditioning coach on the staff.

Most of all, I definitely agree that it was our non-typical performance (non-typical for a Tubby Smith-coached team)on defense that caused last year's disappointments.

Blue Heaven
05-30-2006, 06:23 PM
I agree with all said about our defense, but let me throw this out there. I feel our defense was so bad because we didn't have that long athletic SF that many of the teams that beat us had. The addition of Stevenson will help slightly this year. I mean Thomas or Perry trying to guard the likes of Rush, Tyrus Thomas, Brewer and the like last year was flat out embarassing.

Blue Heaven
05-30-2006, 06:24 PM
I meant SF/PF. Guys who can pretty much play anywhere.

Will Lavender
05-30-2006, 06:28 PM
Blue Heaven wrote: I agree with all said about our defense, but let me throw this out there. I feel our defense was so bad because we didn't have that long athletic SF that many of the teams that beat us had. The addition of Stevenson will help slightly this year. I mean Thomas or Perry trying to guard the likes of Rush, Tyrus Thomas, Brewer and the like last year was flat out embarassing.
I absolutely agree with you.

Tubby's penchant to recruit squat, muscular guys and play them on the wings is going to hurt us unless we can shoot the lights out next year and/or we become a beastly team in the middle with Morris, Carter, et al.

Tubby has always undervalued athleticism and offensive skill in favor of defense and toughness, but ironically those were things that were missing on last year's team - toughness, length, agility, etc. - and that's why, as you say, we sucked on defense.

This is a recruiting issue, and I really think that with the addition of Jasper (length) and Meeks (athleticism) and Stevenson (length and athleticism), we'll be a better defensive team next season.

We better be, or hello double digit losses once again.