Mid-Season Transfers, What Are the Odds?`

[audacious1]

Looking at these recruits coming in, how could all these kids be happy with the amount of PT they'll be getting?

UNC

http://scout.scout.com/a.z?s=75&p=9&c=8&toinid=359&yr=2006



Texas

http://scout.scout.com/a.z?s=75&p=9&c=8&toinid=371&yr=2006



I'll predict there's better than 50-50 odds that both schools will have at least 1 transfer before the end of next season. Who wants some of that action?

[Caveman Catfan]

At UNC, it is likely that a least Hansborough leaves early after this season. He could be the top draft pick in next season's draft and is probably a guaranteed top 2-5.They also lose Terry to graduation. This year's loss of Noel will provide time for at least one of the newcomers.

UNC and Williams do a pretty good job of retaining players. They could lose one of the centers, but I would not be surprised if all remain, unless they jump early to the NBA.

[audacious1]

Caveman Catfan wrote: At UNC, it is likely that a least Hansborough leaves early after this season. He could be the top draft pick in next season's draft and is probably a guaranteed top 2-5.They also lose Terry to graduation. This year's loss of Noel will provide time for at least one of the newcomers.

UNC and Williams do a pretty good job of retaining players. They could lose one of the centers, but I would not be surprised if all remain, unless they jump early to the NBA.

I'm talking mid-season, not after the season is over.

[AugustaDan]

Tre Pryor wrote: Caveman Catfan wrote: At UNC, it is likely that a least Hansborough leaves early after this season. He could be the top draft pick in next season's draft and is probably a guaranteed top 2-5.They also lose Terry to graduation. This year's loss of Noel will provide time for at least one of the newcomers.

UNC and Williams do a pretty good job of retaining players. They could lose one of the centers, but I would not be surprised if all remain, unless they jump early to the NBA.

I'm talking mid-season, not after the season is over.We know from the Joe Crawford incident that no freshman will be transferring mid-season because the penalty is 2 seasons eligibility. Could be upper classmen though.

[audacious1]

dxwils3 wrote: Tre Pryor wrote: Caveman Catfan wrote: At UNC, it is likely that a least Hansborough leaves early after this season. He could be the top draft pick in next season's draft and is probably a guaranteed top 2-5.They also lose Terry to graduation. This year's loss of Noel will provide time for at least one of the newcomers.

UNC and Williams do a pretty good job of retaining players. They could lose one of the centers, but I would not be surprised if all remain, unless they jump early to the NBA.

I'm talking mid-season, not after the season is over.We know from the Joe Crawford incident that no freshman will be transferring mid-season because the penalty is 2 seasons eligibility. Could be upper classmen though.


Really? I wasn't aware of that. Ok, maybe I'll retrack my betting offer. :)

But I know one thing, not all of those incoming freshmen for UNC and Texas will be happy with their PT, that's for certain.

[Doug Hardin]

Caveman Catfan wrote: At UNC, it is likely that a least Hansborough leaves early after this season. He could be the top draft pick in next season's draft and is probably a guaranteed top 2-5.
I don't know how accurate it is right now, but NBADraft.net doesn't think Hansbrough is much of an NBA prospect. In their 2007 Mock Draft, they have him going at #27.

[BRN2BNK Wildcat]

Doug Hardin wrote: Caveman Catfan wrote: At UNC, it is likely that a least Hansborough leaves early after this season. He could be the top draft pick in next season's draft and is probably a guaranteed top 2-5.
I don't know how accurate it is right now, but NBADraft.net doesn't think Hansbrough is much of an NBA prospect. In their 2007 Mock Draft, they have him going at #27.
I love it! They already have a '07 simulated draft going!

[audacious1]

2007?!? They're already onto 2008! :cool:

http://www.nbadraft.net/index.asp?content=mock2008

[DCWildcat]

For what it's worth, nbadraft.net has some of the worst analysis I've ever seen. Aran Smith knows so little about basketball it's frightening.

[RCS]

Hansborough will get drafted, but I doubt he will be a lottery pick any time soon. He is a tweener. Unless he adds some outside game he will not be able to play PF and he is too small to play C. He is apparently a tireless worker, so he may add that outside game and end up a top 15 pick, butI doubt it is next year.